Vol.10, No.2, May 2021.                                                                                                                                                                                    ISSN: 2217-8309

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         eISSN: 2217-8333

 

TEM Journal

 

TECHNOLOGY, EDUCATION, MANAGEMENT, INFORMATICS

Association for Information Communication Technology Education and Science


Forecast Analysis of Gross Regional Domestic Product based on the Linear Regression Algorithm Technique

 

Veta Lidya Delimah Pasaribu, Fauziah Septiani, Suharni Rahayu, L Lismiatun, Muhammad Arief, Angga Juanda, M. Yusuf Sunaryo, Robbi Rahim

 

© 2021 Robbi Rahim, published by UIKTEN. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License. (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)

 

Citation Information: TEM Journal. Volume 10, Issue 2, Pages 620-626, ISSN 2217-8309, DOI: 10.18421/TEM102-17, May 2021.

 

Received: 05 March 2021.

Revised:   22 April 2021.
Accepted:  28 April 2021.
Published: 27 May 2021.

 

Abstract:

 

Statistical data are indispensable for macro-economic planning activities such as the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) where data can determine the economic development strategies and policies that have been adopted and can be continued in the future. This study draws on quantitative data sources from the Regional Statistical Agency of Jakarta for the period 2017-2019, the subject of the Gross Regional Domestic Product based on current business prices. The aim of this research is to test and predict the level of accuracy of GRDP at current prices based on business fields using the Linear Regression method supported by Rapid Miner software. The results show that the validated Linear Regression algorithm with K-Fold values from 2 to 10 with the sampling type linear sampling and shuffled sampling can be used and implemented with the smallest Root Mean Square Error value of IDR 9,977,431 at k = 10 for the sampling.

 

Keywords –Data Mining, Linear Regression, Gross Regional Domestic Product, Root Mean Square Error.

 

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